Differences between revisions 1 and 2
Revision 1 as of 2021-04-26 15:39:53
Size: 5026
Comment:
Revision 2 as of 2021-04-26 15:45:24
Size: 4326
Comment:
Deletions are marked like this. Additions are marked like this.
Line 1: Line 1:
From: Keith Lofstrom <keithl@gate.kl-ic.com>
To: Narayanan Komerath <komerath2020@gmail.com>
Cc:
Bcc: keithl@gate
Subject: Heat shield versus rocket Re: Space technology/business mailing
 lists
Reply-To: keithl@keithl.com
= PhobosMars ==
Line 9: Line 3:
NK:

The following is a question I would ask on a
propulsion-related mailing list. You might be the right
person to answer it, assuming you can step back far enough
to imagine two "unrelated" problems as one.

I'm pondering missions to Phobos, and comparing rocket
delta V to heat shield delta V. I hope you can help me
judge the relative merits.

----------

JAXA's Mars Moon eXplorer (MMX) proposes to arrive at
Phobos with three rocket burns:
JAXA's Mars Moon eXplorer (MMX) proposes to arrive at Phobos with three rocket burns:
Line 26: Line 6:
2) Apo-apsis plane change and boost, delta V of 40 m/s
 
(results in a higher peri-apsis at 9376 km Phobos orbit)
2) Apo-apsis plane change and boost, delta V of 40 m/s (results in a higher peri-apsis at 9376 km Phobos orbit)
Line 30: Line 9:
Apo-apsis is very high, 70*Mars radius, so that plane
change delta V is cheap. Time is money, so lower is
more delta V but a somewhat cheaper mission
Apo-apsis is very high, 70*Mars radius, so that plane change delta V is cheap. Time is money, so lower is more delta V but a somewhat cheaper mission.
Line 36: Line 13:
That's the "apple", slightly modified from published
numbers, to enable "apple/orange comparison".
That's the "apple", slightly modified from published numbers, to enable "apple/orange comparison".
Line 51: Line 27:
Note that each heat shield slowdown is in and out of upper
Mars atmosphere, higher and smaller and much gentler than
heat shield entry to Mars surface. WAG: 2 gees, not 12
Note that each heat shield slowdown is in and out of upper Mars atmosphere, higher and smaller and much gentler than heat shield entry to Mars surface. WAG: 2 gees, not 12
Line 55: Line 29:
Note also that system failure may cause the spacecraft to
burn up and impact Mars surface; a "planetary protection"
problem.
Note also that system failure may cause the spacecraft to burn up and impact Mars surface; a "planetary protection" problem.
Line 59: Line 31:
So, this approach reduces chemical rocket delta V by 920 m/s,
(but does not eliminate it), and adds a heat shield (gently
used twice) delta V of 1330 m/s.
So, this approach reduces chemical rocket delta V by 920 m/s, (but does not eliminate it), and adds a heat shield (gently used twice) delta V of 1330 m/s.
Line 63: Line 33:
But heat shields are not free - they add mass and different
failure modes. Also, a dependence on the highly variable
Mars atmosphere, requiring two pre-entry estimates of
Mars atmospheric density.
But heat shields are not free - they add mass and different failure modes. Also, a dependence on the highly variable Mars atmosphere, requiring two pre-entry estimates of Mars atmospheric density.
Line 72: Line 39:
A heat shield designed for two uses, loaded to less than
5% of Earth entry heating, will be cheap, but not free
or massless. Hundreds of hours between uses, so there
is time to repair or resurface it if necessary.
A heat shield designed for two uses, loaded to less than 5% of Earth entry heating, will be cheap, but not free or massless. Hundreds of hours between uses, so there is time to repair or resurface it if necessary.
Line 77: Line 41:
You are an aeropropulsion expert, but hypersonic aircraft
must also be heat resistant, so you can probably estimate
the mass and cost of a heat shield dissipating perhaps
300 MJ/m2 of slowdown heat, over two multi-minute passes.
You are an aeropropulsion expert, but hypersonic aircraft must also be heat resistant, so you can probably estimate the mass and cost of a heat shield dissipating perhaps 300 MJ/m2 of slowdown heat, over two multi-minute passes.
Line 82: Line 43:
And how that weight and cost (and reliability) "orange"
scales to many extra minutes of non-cryo-fueled rocket
engine "apple". 920 m/s delta V is a LOT of heavy
years-storable propellant.
And how that weight and cost (and reliability) "orange" scales to many extra minutes of non-cryo-fueled rocket engine "apple". 920 m/s delta V is a LOT of heavy years-storable propellant.
Line 87: Line 45:
Ponder that for a while. Perhaps you know of a paper or
textbook that compares these apples and oranges.
Ponder that for a while. Perhaps you know of a paper or textbook that compares these apples and oranges.
Line 92: Line 49:
When I have this figured out, my next study will be
"Phobos indirect to Mars". Given the enormous planetary
protection consequences, my idea of a manned "plant the
flag" mission to Mars is to send a large manned mission
to a robotically prepared semipermanent base on Phobos,
and spend 98% of mission elapsed time there.
When I have this figured out, my next study will be "Phobos indirect to Mars". Given the enormous planetary protection consequences, my idea of a manned "plant the flag" mission to Mars is to send a large manned mission to a robotically prepared semipermanent base on Phobos, and spend 98% of mission elapsed time there.
Line 99: Line 51:
Radiation shielded, 1 gee centrifuge, closed cycle algae
food and air farm. Controlling hundreds of surface robots
from that base; that's 90% of what the expedition does.
Also examining tonnes of rocks sent up on ascent vehicles.
The real work gets done on Phobos.
Radiation shielded, 1 gee centrifuge, closed cycle algae food and air farm. Controlling hundreds of surface robots from that base; that's 90% of what the expedition does.  Also examining tonnes of rocks sent up on ascent vehicles.  The real work gets done on Phobos.
Line 105: Line 53:
Nobody has ever walked on the Moon. They've walked on
boots that walked on the Moon, and they've looked at the
Moon through glass. "Walking on Mars" with predictive-
adaptive tele-presence, perhaps wearing "sensor socks" so
astronauts can actually feel the sharp gritty surface
with their "bare" feet in real time, may be "more real"
than actually being there.
Nobody has ever walked on the Moon. They've walked on boots that walked on the Moon, and they've looked at the Moon through glass. "Walking on Mars" with predictive-adaptive tele-presence, perhaps wearing "sensor socks" so astronauts can actually feel the sharp gritty surface with their "bare" feet in real time, may be "more real" than actually being there.
Line 113: Line 55:
There will also be a three-day, two-astronaut "Mars lander
from Phobos" sub-mission, for a brief "show the flag, say
the words, check the pulse, and collect the souvenirs" visit.
This will be to a site already scouted, sampled, and
prepared by robots. Some of those robots operated by
the same two astronauts, pre- and post- landing.
There will also be a three-day, two-astronaut "Mars lander from Phobos" sub-mission, for a brief "show the flag, say the words, check the pulse, and collect the souvenirs" visit.  This will be to a site already scouted, sampled, and prepared by robots. Some of those robots operated by the same two astronauts, pre- and post- landing.
Line 120: Line 57:
Then ride an ascent vehicle back to the base on Phobos, and
back to experiencing the entire planet using tele-presence.
Then ride an ascent vehicle back to the base on Phobos, and back to experiencing the entire planet using tele-presence.
Line 123: Line 59:
If similar lander/ascenders move both rocks and astronauts,
there will be plenty of system tests before risking humans
(and Mars), as well as a spare ascender if the ascender the
astronauts rode down on fails. The lander might need an
entry heat shield, but the ascender does not; an open frame
with a nosecone, and mesh seats for space suits, would be
adequate.

Keith

--
Keith Lofstrom keithl@keithl.com
If similar lander/ascenders move both rocks and astronauts, there will be plenty of system tests before risking humans (and Mars), as well as a spare ascender if the ascender the astronauts rode down on fails. The lander might need an entry heat shield, but the ascender does not; an open frame with a nosecone, and mesh seats for space suits, would be adequate.

= PhobosMars ==

JAXA's Mars Moon eXplorer (MMX) proposes to arrive at Phobos with three rocket burns:

1) Mars capture with a near-Mars delta V of 630 m/s 2) Apo-apsis plane change and boost, delta V of 40 m/s (results in a higher peri-apsis at 9376 km Phobos orbit) 3) Peri-apsis insertion into Phobos orbit, delta V 850 m/s

Apo-apsis is very high, 70*Mars radius, so that plane change delta V is cheap. Time is money, so lower is more delta V but a somewhat cheaper mission.

Total chemical rocket delta V, 1520 m/s

That's the "apple", slightly modified from published numbers, to enable "apple/orange comparison".


My imagined alternative: 1) Mars capture with a HEAT SHIELD delta V of 630 m/s 2) Apo-apsis plane change (no boost), delta V of 30 m/s (max) 3) Second Mars HEAT SHIELD slowdown, delta V of 700 m/s

  • (results in an apo-apsis at 9376 km Phobos orbit)

4) Apo-apsis insertion into Phobos orbit, delta V 570 m/s

Total chemical rocket delta V, 600 m/s Total heat shield delta V, 1330 m/s

Note that each heat shield slowdown is in and out of upper Mars atmosphere, higher and smaller and much gentler than heat shield entry to Mars surface. WAG: 2 gees, not 12

Note also that system failure may cause the spacecraft to burn up and impact Mars surface; a "planetary protection" problem.

So, this approach reduces chemical rocket delta V by 920 m/s, (but does not eliminate it), and adds a heat shield (gently used twice) delta V of 1330 m/s.

But heat shields are not free - they add mass and different failure modes. Also, a dependence on the highly variable Mars atmosphere, requiring two pre-entry estimates of Mars atmospheric density.

That's the "orange", which I hope to compare.


A heat shield designed for two uses, loaded to less than 5% of Earth entry heating, will be cheap, but not free or massless. Hundreds of hours between uses, so there is time to repair or resurface it if necessary.

You are an aeropropulsion expert, but hypersonic aircraft must also be heat resistant, so you can probably estimate the mass and cost of a heat shield dissipating perhaps 300 MJ/m2 of slowdown heat, over two multi-minute passes.

And how that weight and cost (and reliability) "orange" scales to many extra minutes of non-cryo-fueled rocket engine "apple". 920 m/s delta V is a LOT of heavy years-storable propellant.

Ponder that for a while. Perhaps you know of a paper or textbook that compares these apples and oranges.


When I have this figured out, my next study will be "Phobos indirect to Mars". Given the enormous planetary protection consequences, my idea of a manned "plant the flag" mission to Mars is to send a large manned mission to a robotically prepared semipermanent base on Phobos, and spend 98% of mission elapsed time there.

Radiation shielded, 1 gee centrifuge, closed cycle algae food and air farm. Controlling hundreds of surface robots from that base; that's 90% of what the expedition does. Also examining tonnes of rocks sent up on ascent vehicles. The real work gets done on Phobos.

Nobody has ever walked on the Moon. They've walked on boots that walked on the Moon, and they've looked at the Moon through glass. "Walking on Mars" with predictive-adaptive tele-presence, perhaps wearing "sensor socks" so astronauts can actually feel the sharp gritty surface with their "bare" feet in real time, may be "more real" than actually being there.

There will also be a three-day, two-astronaut "Mars lander from Phobos" sub-mission, for a brief "show the flag, say the words, check the pulse, and collect the souvenirs" visit. This will be to a site already scouted, sampled, and prepared by robots. Some of those robots operated by the same two astronauts, pre- and post- landing.

Then ride an ascent vehicle back to the base on Phobos, and back to experiencing the entire planet using tele-presence.

If similar lander/ascenders move both rocks and astronauts, there will be plenty of system tests before risking humans (and Mars), as well as a spare ascender if the ascender the astronauts rode down on fails. The lander might need an entry heat shield, but the ascender does not; an open frame with a nosecone, and mesh seats for space suits, would be adequate.

PhobosMars (last edited 2021-04-26 15:49:21 by KeithLofstrom)